Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2021 at 3pm UK

Vicarage Road

Watford
3 - 2
Aston Villa

Dennis (10'), Sarr (42'), Camilo Hernandez (67')
Kucka (23'), Sema (55'), Etebo (86')

FT(HT: 2-0)

McGinn (70'), Ings (90+7' pen.)
Mings (54')

The Match

Match Report

Ismaila Sarr had already set up Emmanuel Dennis for his first club goal for Watford's opener before he found the net himself.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Watford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Watford	Draw	Aston Villa
27.33%	25.51%	47.15%

Both teams to score 52.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.88%

51.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.03%

72.97%

Watford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.72%

33.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.11%

69.89%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.32%

21.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.17%

54.83%

Score Analysis

Watford 27.33%

Aston Villa 47.15%

Draw 25.51%

Watford	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 7.94% 2-1 @ 6.68% 2-0 @ 4.37% 3-1 @ 2.45% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.33%	1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.1% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.43% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 4.3% 2-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.64% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.35% Total : 47.15%