Premier League | Gameweek 38
Jul 26, 2020 at 4pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle1 - 3Liverpool
The Match
Match Report
The champions had to come from behind to claim victory on Tyneside.
Team News
Magpies boss Steve Bruce faces a selection headache at the back.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's final-day Premier League clash between Newcastle and champions Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how champions Liverpool could line up for Sunday's final-day Premier League clash with Newcastle United at St James' Park.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United at St James' Park.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.73%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 17.24% | 21.44% | 61.32% |
| Both teams to score 51.74% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% | 45.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% | 67.54% |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% | 39.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.65% | 76.35% |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.77% | 14.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.02% | 41.98% |
| Score Analysis |
Newcastle United 17.24%
Liverpool 61.31%
Draw 21.43%
| Newcastle United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 1-0 @ 5.22% 2-1 @ 4.71% 2-0 @ 2.41% 3-1 @ 1.45% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.24% | 1-1 @ 10.17% 0-0 @ 5.65% 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.43% | 0-1 @ 11% 0-2 @ 10.73% 1-2 @ 9.92% 0-3 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 6.45% 0-4 @ 3.4% 1-4 @ 3.14% 2-3 @ 2.98% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.33% 1-5 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.71% Total : 61.31% |
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2019 12.30pm
Gameweek 5
Liverpool
3-1
Newcastle
May 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Newcastle
2-3
Liverpool
Dec 26, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 19
Liverpool
4-0
Newcastle
Mar 3, 2018 5.30pm
Oct 1, 2017 4.30pm
Form Guide
Build-up
Steve Bruce hoping for below par Liverpool to arrive at St James' Park
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How Liverpool could line up against Newcastle United
Sports Mole looks at how champions Liverpool could line up for Sunday's final-day Premier League clash with Newcastle United at St James' Park.
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Steve Bruce "delighted" by progress of Jordan Henderson and Andrew Robertson
The Newcastle boss played a part in the development of both players.
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Steve Bruce proceeding with transfer plans despite Newcastle ownership uncertainty
Newcastle have been waiting for takeover news for almost four months.
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Liverpool team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Newcastle United
Sports Mole rounds up Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's Premier League clash with Newcastle United at St James' Park.
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