Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 77.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 8.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.48%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Southampton win it was 0-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.