Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-23s win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 38.71% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.19%) and 3-1 (4.77%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-23s would win this match.
