Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Norwich City Under-21s had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.96%) and 3-1 (6.75%). The likeliest Norwich City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.