Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win with a probability of 65.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.81%) and 3-1 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.13%), while for a Stoke City Under-21s win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest Under-21s would win this match.