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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 33
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Newry City AFC
0 - 1
Crusaders


Poynton (27'), Forde (43'), Carroll (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kennedy (75')
Larmour (23'), Lowry (90')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Newry City AFC and Crusaders.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Linfield 6-0 Newry City AFC
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-1 Coleraine
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 78.01%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.38%) and 0-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.56%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-0 (2.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.

Result
Newry City AFCDrawCrusaders
8.04% (-0.0061 -0.01) 13.95% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 78.01% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)33.68% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)55.5% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Newry City AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.7% (0.012999999999998 0.01)47.3% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.29% (0.010000000000002 0.01)82.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)
Crusaders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (0.007000000000005 0.01)6.95% (-0.0111 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.51% (0.025999999999996 0.03)25.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Newry City AFC 8.04%
    Crusaders 78%
    Draw 13.95%
Newry City AFCDrawCrusaders
1-0 @ 2.46% (-0.004 -0)
2-1 @ 2.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 8.04%
1-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.28%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 13.95%
0-2 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 10.38%
0-1 @ 8.77% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 7.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 6.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 5.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-5 @ 3.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-6 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-6 @ 1.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-5 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 78%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Crusaders
1-1
Newry City AFC
Forsythe (13')
O'Rourke (62'), Robinson (68'), Owens (90')
McGovern (89')
Healy (36'), Bagnall (90')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Newry City AFC
0-4
Crusaders

Healy (12'), McKeown (45+2')
Kennedy (4'), Larmour (29'), Lecky (58', 76')
Clarke (41'), Joe Burns (55'), Lowry (60')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Crusaders
3-1
Newry City AFC
Ebbe (31'), Owens (63'), Forsythe (80')
Carville (77' pen.)
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Crusaders
4-0
Newry City AFC
Heatley (7'), Lowry (41', 76'), Joe Burns (61')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Newry City AFC
1-2
Crusaders
Hughes (21')
(27')
Lowry (64'), Larmour (67')
(40'), (53'), (58')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LinfieldLinfield17112433151835
2CliftonvilleCliftonville1793526161030
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon189272421329
4PortadownPortadown178452417728
5GlentoranGlentoran188371916327
6Ballymena UnitedBallymena179082120127
7ColeraineColeraine177462822625
8CrusadersCrusaders157261817123
9LarneLarne136341511421
10Carrick RangersCarrick1743101829-1115
11GlenavonGlenavon183691125-1415
12Loughgall1832131846-2811


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