Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Israel had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Israel win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.