National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Notts County4 - 0Scunthorpe
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Goals
for
for
97
Last Game: Scunthorpe 4-1 Wealdstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League
We said: Notts County 3-0 Scunthorpe United
Notts County have an imperious home record, and Luke Williams will see this game as a must-win in order to keep the pressure on Wrexham at the top. Scunthorpe have not won on their travels since January 25, so we are expecting a comfortable win for the home side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 80.8%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 6.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.76%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-2 (2.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 80.8% | 12.36% | 6.84% |
| Both teams to score 49.32% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
