Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.
Result | ||
Solihull Moors | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
59.1% ( 0.02) | 22.32% ( -0.01) | 18.58% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.17% ( 0.04) | 46.83% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.91% ( 0.03) | 69.09% ( -0.04) |
Solihull Moors Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.51% ( 0.02) | 15.49% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.63% ( 0.04) | 44.37% ( -0.04) |
Scunthorpe United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.92% ( 0.01) | 39.08% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.2% ( 0.01) | 75.8% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Solihull Moors | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
1-0 @ 11.28% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.52% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 59.09% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 24 |
2 | York City | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 21 |
4 | Rochdale | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 20 |
5 | Gateshead | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 20 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 20 |
7 | Eastleigh | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 20 |
8 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 16 |
9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 16 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
12 | Woking | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
15 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 14 |
16 | Tamworth | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 13 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 13 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 10 |
20 | Fylde | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 9 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 9 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 8 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 5 |
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