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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
AFC Fylde
National League | Gameweek 23
Jan 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Mill Farm Stadium
Hartlepool United

Fylde
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Haughton (17'), Onariase (20' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hastie (74')
Crawford (52'), Stephenson (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Fylde and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fylde

All competitions
Last Game: Fylde 2-0 Rochdale
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Hartlepool United

All competitions
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

We said: Fylde 1-2 Hartlepool United

 With both teams on a high after their last outings, this has the potential to be an entertaining match. Fylde require the points far more than their higher-profile opponents, yet we feel that the visitors will have enough quality to edge this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fylde in this match.

Result
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
44.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.21% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.2% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.89% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)38.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.62% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)60.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Fylde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)17.57% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.87% (-0.012 -0.01)48.13% (0.012 0.01)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Fylde 44.43%
    Hartlepool United 32.36%
    Draw 23.2%
FyldeDrawHartlepool United
2-1 @ 9.02%
1-0 @ 7.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 6.2%
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.97%
Total : 44.43%
1-1 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.2%
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.66%
2-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.36%

How you voted: Fylde vs Hartlepool

Fylde
45.5%
Draw
9.1%
Hartlepool United
45.5%
11
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Hartlepool
3-1
Fylde
Dieseruvwe (25', 53'), Cooke (33')
Crawford (39'), Grey (68'), Cooke (90+5')
Omotayo (45+2')
Richardson (3')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 50
Fylde
P-P
Hartlepool
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Hartlepool
2-2
Fylde
Toure (3', 59')
Featherstone (61')
Croasdale (81', 83')
Haughton (76'), Philliskirk (94')
Mar 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 45
Fylde
4-2
Hartlepool
Rowe (3', 79'), Kerr (56' og.), Walters (90')
Birch (42'), Philliskirk (70'), Francis-Angol (80')
Donaldson (46'), Hawkes (75')
Nov 27, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Hartlepool
1-2
Fylde
Noble (84' pen.)
Magnay (78'), Noble (90')
Rowe (44'), Gnahoua (74')
Tunnicliffe (34')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City19125237142341
2Forest Green RoversForest Green19125237162141
3Barnet19131540231740
4Gateshead19114435241137
5Oldham AthleticOldham1897229171234
6Rochdale189362718930
7Halifax TownHalifax188552016429
8Solihull MoorsSolihull198473532328
9Yeovil TownYeovil198472120128
10AltrinchamAltrincham197662925427
11Sutton UnitedSutton187472626025
12Eastleigh196762626025
13Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool196762224-225
14Tamworth197482233-1125
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red195773124722
16Southend UnitedSouthend195772224-222
17Aldershot TownAldershot195772530-522
18Woking195591926-720
19WealdstoneWealdstone194781926-719
20Braintree TownBraintree1954101523-819
21Fylde1853102337-1418
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead1944112136-1516
23Boston UnitedBoston1935111932-1314
24Ebbsfleet1815121543-288
> National League Full Table


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