Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Boston United | Draw | Tamworth |
29.95% ( -0.13) | 25.56% ( -0.01) | 44.5% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.82% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.13% ( -0.02) | 49.87% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.13% ( -0.01) | 71.87% ( 0.02) |
Boston United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( -0.1) | 30.68% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% ( -0.12) | 66.93% ( 0.12) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.63% ( 0.06) | 22.37% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% ( 0.09) | 55.86% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Boston United | Draw | Tamworth |
1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.95% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 44.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
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