Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Farnborough Town
27.71% ( 0.06)	25.29% ( 0.01)	47% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.03% (

-0.02)

49.97% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.05% (

-0.02)

71.95% (

0.02)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62% (

0.04)

32.38% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11% (

0.04)

68.89% (

-0.03)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.72% (

-0.04)

21.27% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.8% (

-0.06)

54.2% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 27.71%

Farnborough Town 47%

Draw 25.29%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Farnborough Town
1-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.71%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 10.66% 1-2 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 47%