Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Clermont would win this match.
Result | ||
Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
34.19% ( -0) | 27.35% ( 0.01) | 38.46% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.09% ( -0.03) | 55.9% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.99% ( -0.02) | 77.01% ( 0.02) |
Troyes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( -0.02) | 30.85% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( -0.02) | 67.13% ( 0.02) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( -0.02) | 28.23% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( -0.02) | 63.93% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Troyes | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.35% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.84% Total : 38.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |