Ligue 1 | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens1 - 1Lille
We said: Lens 2-1 Lille
Lens won 17 of their 19 home games in Ligue 1 last season, with Lille one of only two teams who prevented them from winning, ultimately costing Haise's side the title given that they finished one point behind champions Paris Saint-Germain. As such, we could be in store for a tasty Northern derby on Sunday, with Lens appearing to be in good shape to gain a victory given that they have won three matches in a row in all competitions. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Lens had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lens win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Lille |
36.64% ( 0.35) | 26.25% ( 0.11) | 37.11% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
