Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Nantes |
41.97% ( -0.03) | 27.63% ( -0.08) | 30.41% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 47.75% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.22% ( 0.34) | 57.78% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.49% ( 0.27) | 78.51% ( -0.26) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% ( 0.14) | 27.16% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.44% ( 0.18) | 62.57% ( -0.18) |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.56% ( 0.27) | 34.44% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.84% ( 0.28) | 71.16% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Nantes |
1-0 @ 12.19% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.94% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.62% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |