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Clermont Foot
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Gabriel Montpied
Nantes

Clermont
2 - 3
Nantes

Khaoui (58'), Abdul Samed (63')
Abdul Samed (30'), Ogier (34'), Magnin (43'), Gastien (74'), Zedadka (88'), Seidu (90+3')
Abdul Samed (72'), Gastien (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Blas (43' pen.), Chirivella (62'), Kolo (67')
Girotto (35')

Preview: Clermont vs. Nantes - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Clermont and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Clermont will be seeking to avoid a fourth successive Ligue 1 defeat when they welcome Nantes to the Stade Gabriel Montpied on Sunday afternoon.

The visitors, meanwhile, have also suffered a slight dip in form after losing their last two league fixtures without scoring.


Match preview

Clermont coach Pascal Gastien on February 6, 2022© Reuters

Clermont will be keen to put aside their miserable month of March, after losing three successive games and conceding nine goals in the process.

A 3-1 defeat away at Lens last time out has seen them slip down to 17th in the table, just one point above Saint-Etienne in 18th who occupy the relegation playoff position, and five points above the bottom two.

While many teams will enjoy playing on home soil, Pascal Gastien's side have struggled in front of their home fans in recent weeks, as they have only won one of their last nine home league games, winning 2-1 against Rennes in January.

Clermont have also won only one of their last five meetings against Nantes, with that solitary victory dating back to May 2013 when they won 1-0 on the road in the second tier.

Success for the Lancers on Sunday would provide them with a much-needed boost as they head into their remaining eight league fixtures, which will see them face five teams who are currently positioned in the bottom half of the table.

Nantes coach Antoine Kombouare reacts on March 2, 2022© Reuters

Nantes, meanwhile, ended March with back-to-back 1-0 defeats against Troyes and Lille, the latter of whom saw out the final half an hour with 10 men.

Nevertheless, the Canaries remain in the mix to qualify for Europe next season as they are sitting ninth in the Ligue 1 table, six points behind fifth-placed Strasbourg with nine games remaining.

Antoine Kombouare will be keen to see his side rectify their recent away form as they have failed to win any of their last four games on the road, a run which includes three defeats and only one goal scored.

Hopes of success on Sunday could prove challenging, as Nantes have won only one of their last seven away games against newly-promoted teams in Ligue 1. However, they did beat Clermont 2-1 on home soil in October's reverse fixture.

Clermont Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Nantes Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Nantes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L


Team News

Nantes' Quentin Merlin celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 19, 2022© Reuters

Clermont trio Cedric Hountondji (broken arm), Vital N'Simba (broken hand) and Jim Allevinah (COVID-19) are all unavailable for selection.

Salis Abdul Samed has served a one-match suspension and is available to start in centre-midfield alongside Johan Gastien and Jason Berthomier.

Winger Jodel Dossou will be hoping to force his way back into the first XI ahead of Lucas Da Cunha, while top scorer Mohamed Bayo – who has 10 league goals to his name this term – is set to start as the central striker.

As for Nantes, Marcus Coco and Sebastien Corchia are both ruled out with ankle injuries, while Nicolas Pallois and Charles Traore are sidelined with knee problems.

The absence of Corchia and Pallois will likely see Kombouare continue with a 3-5-2 formation, with Osman Bukari and Quentin Merlin operating as wing-backs either side of centre-back trio Dennis Appiah, Jean-Charles Castelletto and Andrei Girotto.

Centre-midfielders Ludovic Blas, Samuel Moutoussamy and Pedro Chirivella are all set to remain in the first XI, behind attacking duo Moses Simon and Randal Kolo Muani.

Clermont possible starting lineup:
Djoco; Zedadka, Seidu, Hountondji, Seidu; Berthomier, Gastien, Abdul Samed; Dossou, Bayo, Rashani

Nantes possible starting lineup:
Lafont; Appiah, Girotto, Castelletto; Bukari, Chirivella, Blas, Moutoussamy, Merlin; Simon, Kolo Muani


SM words green background

We say: Clermont 1-2 Nantes

With both sides lacking fully-fit squads and struggling for form, an open contest could be on the cards this weekend.

Nantes will be the favourites heading into this fixture, considering that they are eight places and 14 points clear of Clermont at present, and the visitors should have enough quality in their side to edge past the hosts.


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Clermont win with a probability of 46.37%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 25.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Clermont win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Clermont vs Nantes

Clermont
26.8%
Draw
24.4%
Nantes
48.8%
41
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1Paris FCParis FC1484222111128
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3Metz147432213925
4DunkerqueDunkerque138142218425
5Annecy146532118323
6GuingampGuingamp147162419522
7AmiensAmiens146261718-120
8Laval145452116519
9PauPau145451718-119
10Grenoble145361715218
11Bastia133821313017
12Rodez AFRodez AF144462725216
13Clermont144461316-316
14Caen144371720-315
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16Ajaccio124261013-314
17Red Star144281327-1414
18Martigues14239829-219


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