Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Arena Nationala

Romania
1 - 0
Switzerland

Alibec (50')
Marin (2'), Morutan (48'), Akanji (90+3'), Bancu (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Xhaka (54'), Hagi (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Romania and Switzerland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Romania

All competitions

Last Game: Israel 1-2 Romania
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

Switzerland

All competitions

Last Game: Switzerland 1-1 Kosovo
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group I Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Romania	9	10	19
2	Switzerland	9	12	17
3	Israel	9	-2	12
4	Kosovo	9	1	11
5	Belarus	9	-6	9
6	Andorra	9	-15	2

We said: Romania 1-1 Switzerland

Switzerland are drawing games for fun at the moment, and we can see this one also ending in a low-scoring stalemate, which would see Romania top the section and secure a position in Pot 2 for the finals draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Romania win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Romania win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Romania would win this match.

Result
Romania	Draw	Switzerland
46.56% ( -0.55)	24.16% ( 0.25)	29.28% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 58.08% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.89% (

-0.99)

44.11% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.51% (

-0.97)

66.49% (

0.97)

Romania Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-0.61)

19.1% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

-1.02)

50.71% (

1.02)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

-0.3)

28.21% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.08% (

-0.38)

63.91% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Romania 46.56%

Switzerland 29.28%

Draw 24.15%

Romania	Draw	Switzerland
2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.24% Total : 46.56%	1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.15%	1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.28%