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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 16, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Cagliari logo

Napoli
2 - 1
Cagliari

Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Napoli 2-0 Braga
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 Sassuolo
Monday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 2-0 Cagliari

Napoli are still some way short of last season's scintillating form, but they should have enough gas left in the tank to secure back-to-back wins by beating Cagliari. The Isolani have picked up just two points on the road this term, so even their hosts' dire home record may not help them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 18.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cagliari win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
NapoliDrawCagliari
60.15% (0.058 0.06) 21.24% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 18.6% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.92% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.07% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.52% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)64.47% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.0039999999999907 0)13.58% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)40.69% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)36.26% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.95% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)73.04% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 60.15%
    Cagliari 18.6%
    Draw 21.24%
NapoliDrawCagliari
2-1 @ 9.96%
1-0 @ 9.83% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 6.53% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 60.15%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 5.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 18.6%

How you voted: Napoli vs Cagliari

Napoli
84.8%
Draw
10.9%
Cagliari
4.3%
46
Head to Head
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 15
Cagliari
1-4
Napoli
Pedro (60')
Lykogiannis (30'), Sottil (53'), Caligara (85')
Lykogiannis (65')
Zielinski (25', 62'), Lozano (74'), Insigne (86' pen.)
Zielinski (72')
Feb 16, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 24
Cagliari
0-1
Napoli

Pedro (12'), Walukiewicz (30'), Nandez (74')
Mertens (66')
Zielinski (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Jets
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108111851325
2Inter Milan1063124131121
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1061326141219
4Fiorentina105412191219
5Lazio106132213919
6Juventus104601771018
7Udinese105141414016
8AC Milan94231611514
9Torino104241515014
10Roma103431011-113
11Bologna92611111012
12Empoli1025379-211
13Como102351221-99
14CagliariCagliari10235817-99
15Parma101631416-29
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona103071322-99
17Monza101541013-38
18VeneziaVenezia102261018-88
19Lecce10226419-158
20Genoa10136721-146


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