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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Crewe
1 - 4
Fleetwood

Long (90+1')
O'Riordan (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Graydon (11'), Marsh (33'), Bennett (79'), Patterson (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Notts County
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Crewe seem to have started to get their season back on track after a few poor weeks, and they will be keen to maintain the gap to Grimsby with a win. Also, given that Fleetwood have been significantly worse on the road this campaign, the Railwaymen are likely to make the most of their chance to take all three points on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.51%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawFleetwood Town
43.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.92% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 29.57% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.016999999999996 0.02)55.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.012 0.01)76.65% (-0.01700000000001 -0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.71% (0.01700000000001 0.02)25.29% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.94% (0.024999999999999 0.02)60.05% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.15% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.84% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)70.51% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 43.5%
    Fleetwood Town 29.57%
    Draw 26.91%
Crewe AlexandraDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.76%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 4.02% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 12.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.91%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Crewe vs Fleetwood

Crewe Alexandra
Draw
Fleetwood Town
Crewe Alexandra
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Fleetwood
0-1
Crewe
Cooney (87' pen.)
Tabiner (17'), Conway (59')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Crewe
1-3
Fleetwood
Long (45+3')
Macadam (18'), Pilkington (64'), Harrison (73')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Fleetwood
3-0
Crewe
Johnson (60'), Andrew (72'), Garner (90+6')
Andrew (65'), Batty (65')

Robertson (65'), McFadzean (65'), Finney (71'), Thomas (90+4')
Apr 20, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Fleetwood
0-2
Crewe

Connolly (14'), Andrew (69'), Crowe-Baggley (76')
Dale (24'), Porter (83' pen.)
Adebisi (45+4'), Murphy (54')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 20
Crewe
1-1
Fleetwood
Mandron (61')
Beckles (16'), Dale (23'), Offord (42')
Burns (49')
Andrew (38'), Rossiter (60'), Madden (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall37209867432469
2Bradford CityBradford37199948311766
3AFC Wimbledon371891049262363
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster371891054441063
5Notts County3717101056391761
6Port Vale361613747371061
7Colchester UnitedColchester371416745331258
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe37141584538757
9Grimsby Town37175155154-356
10Salford City371411124441353
11Bromley371313114845352
12Chesterfield361491358441451
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham371311135154-350
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood371213124946349
15Swindon TownSwindon371114125555047
16Newport CountyNewport37137174861-1346
17BarrowBarrow36128164043-344
18MK Dons36126184653-742
19Gillingham36119163139-842
20Accrington StanleyAccrington371010174555-1040
21Harrogate TownHarrogate37117192948-1940
22Tranmere RoversTranmere37812172855-2736
23Morecambe3786233356-2330
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3669212653-2727


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