UCD0 - 4Shelbourne
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
Friday, June 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
for
We said: University College Dublin 0-2 Shelbourne
Neither side is particularly potent in the final third - they have only 34 goals between them all season. UCD will be rattled by their hammering last time out, and even if they manage to keep their visitors at bay for a while, goal-shy Shelbourne must surely find a way through the league's leakiest defence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 59.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.89%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
Result | ||
University College Dublin | Draw | Shelbourne |
15.8% ( -0.12) | 24.31% ( -0.08) | 59.88% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 40.75% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.57% ( 0.11) | 58.43% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.97% ( 0.09) | 79.02% ( -0.09) |
University College Dublin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.56% ( -0.09) | 49.44% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.73% ( -0.06) | 84.27% ( 0.06) |
Shelbourne Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.11) | 19.4% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.79% ( 0.19) | 51.21% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
University College Dublin | Draw | Shelbourne |
1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 15.8% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 15.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 12.89% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 7.05% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.87% |
How you voted: UCD vs Shelbourne
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Shelbourne | 36 | 17 | 12 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 13 | 63 |
2 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 61 |
3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 59 |
4 | Derry CityDerry | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
5 | Galway United | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 52 |
6 | Sligo RoversSligo | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 49 |
7 | Waterford UnitedWaterford | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
8 | Bohemians | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 36 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 41 | 58 | -17 | 34 |
10 | DundalkDundalk | 36 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 26 |
> League of Ireland Premier Full Table |