League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 24

May 15, 2023 at 8pm UK

Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Shamrock
3 - 2
St Patrick's

Grace (45+2'), Towell (68', 89' pen.)
O'Neil (78')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Doyle (28'), McCormack (84')
Curtis (59'), Grivosti (88'), McCormack (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: UCD 0-3 Shamrock
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 59.07%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 19.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
59.07% ( -0.17)	21.68% ( 0.05)	19.26% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 54.8% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

-0.01)

43.02% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.58% (

-0.01)

65.42% (

0.01)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.78% (

-0.05)

14.22% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.04% (

-0.11)

41.96% (

0.11)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.88% (

0.13)

36.12% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.1% (

0.13)

72.9% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 59.06%

St Patrick's Athletic 19.26%

Draw 21.67%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 59.06%	1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.67%	0-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 19.26%