Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.