Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.