J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)
Sagan Tosu0 - 2Tokyo Verdy
Ueebisu (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Tokyo Verdy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.
Result | ||
Sagan Tosu | Draw | Tokyo Verdy |
30.86% ( -0.23) | 25.93% ( -0.15) | 43.21% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.97% ( 0.52) | 51.03% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.1% ( 0.45) | 72.89% ( -0.45) |
Sagan Tosu Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.37% ( 0.11) | 30.62% ( -0.1) |