Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 1-0 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.