Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.53%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vissel Kobe would win this match.