The Mongols are experiencing a scoring crisis at the moment and seem to be lacking their share of creativity and attacking prowess regardless of who they face. Cambodia have not fared much better, but we project a narrow victory for them, given they will be at home, where they look more at ease at the back and in possession. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambodia win with a probability of 82.9%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Mongolia had a probability of 4.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambodia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.57%) and 1-0 (12.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.7%), while for a Mongolia win it was 0-1 (2.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Cambodia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cambodia.

Result
Cambodia	Draw	Mongolia
82.9% ( -0.04)	12.37% ( 0.03)	4.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 34.72% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.09% (

-0.04)

40.91% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.7% (

-0.04)

63.3% (

0.04)

Cambodia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.52% (

-0.02)

7.48% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.12% (

-0.05)

26.88% (

0.05)

Mongolia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.53% (

0.05)

62.47% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.14% (

0.02)

91.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cambodia 82.88%

Mongolia 4.73%

Draw 12.37%

Cambodia	Draw	Mongolia
2-0 @ 15.7% 3-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 82.88%	1-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.26% Total : 12.37%	0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( 0) Other @ 1.19% Total : 4.73%