Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
![HJK logo HJK logo](https://sm.imgix.net/21/32/hjklog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Neftchi Baku2 - 2HJK Helsinki
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.54%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Neftchi Baku | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
31.44% | 22.52% | 46.03% |
Both teams to score 65.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.84% | 35.15% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.84% | 57.16% |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.57% | 22.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.04% | 55.95% |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.19% | 15.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.03% | 44.97% |
Score Analysis |
Neftchi Baku 31.44%
HJK Helsinki 46.03%
Draw 22.52%
Neftchi Baku | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
2-1 @ 7.31% 1-0 @ 5.3% 2-0 @ 3.96% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 1.97% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.28% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 9.78% 2-2 @ 6.74% 0-0 @ 3.55% 3-3 @ 2.07% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.52% | 1-2 @ 9.02% 0-1 @ 6.54% 0-2 @ 6.03% 1-3 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.71% 1-4 @ 2.56% 2-4 @ 1.91% 0-4 @ 1.71% 3-4 @ 0.95% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.97% Total : 46.03% |
How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs HJK Helsinki
Neftchi Baku
54.8%Draw
21.9%HJK Helsinki
23.3%73
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 08:10:18
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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2
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3
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4
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5
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6
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7
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8
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9
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10
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