![HJK logo HJK logo](https://sm.imgix.net/21/32/hjklog.png?w=60&h=60&auto=compress,format&fit=clip)
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 12, 2021 at 5pm UK
Bolt Arena
HJK Helsinki3 - 0Neftchi Baku
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mbodj (60'), Harramiz (66'), Nacafov (83')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.76%. A win for Neftchi Baku had a probability of 27.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Neftchi Baku win was 0-1 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
Result | ||
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
47.76% | 24.64% | 27.6% |
Both teams to score 55.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.7% | 47.3% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.47% | 69.52% |
HJK Helsinki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% | 19.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% | 51.97% |
Neftchi Baku Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.93% | 31.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.61% | 67.38% |
Score Analysis |
HJK Helsinki 47.76%
Neftchi Baku 27.6%
Draw 24.64%
HJK Helsinki | Draw | Neftchi Baku |
1-0 @ 9.98% 2-1 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 5.08% 3-0 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.05% 4-0 @ 1.75% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.91% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 11.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.64% | 0-1 @ 7.22% 1-2 @ 6.82% 0-2 @ 4.22% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.15% 0-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.6% |
How you voted: HJK Helsinki vs Neftchi Baku
HJK Helsinki
85.3%Draw
5.9%Neftchi Baku
8.8%68
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-27 20:18:12
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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