MX23RW : Thursday, June 13 22:36:56| >> :600:538935:538935:
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2021 at 6pm UK
Bakcell Arena
Dinamo Tbilisi

Neftchi Baku
2 - 1
Dinamo Tbilisi

Mahmudov (58' pen.), Alasgarov (68')
Daniel Meza Colli (22'), Mbodj (55'), Lawal (64'), Buludov (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Radin (51')
Radin (45'), Gabedava (52'), Kutsia (64'), Gbegnon (71'), Morchiladze (83'), Iashvili (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Neftchi Baku and Dinamo Tbilisi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Neftchi Baku win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Dinamo Tbilisi had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Neftchi Baku win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Dinamo Tbilisi win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Neftchi Baku in this match.

Result
Neftchi BakuDrawDinamo Tbilisi
47.41%23.47%29.12%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97%41.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58%63.41%
Neftchi Baku Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.45%17.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.92%48.08%
Dinamo Tbilisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95%62.04%
Score Analysis
    Neftchi Baku 47.41%
    Dinamo Tbilisi 29.12%
    Draw 23.47%
Neftchi BakuDrawDinamo Tbilisi
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 8.17%
2-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 2.37%
4-0 @ 1.8%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 47.41%
1-1 @ 10.77%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.47%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-1 @ 6.19%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.79%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 29.12%

How you voted: Neftchi Baku vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Neftchi Baku
56.9%
Draw
29.4%
Dinamo Tbilisi
13.7%
51
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2021 5pm
First Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Dinamo Tbilisi
1-2
Neftchi Baku
Marusic (36')
Kardava (84')
Alasgarov (23'), Mahmudov (57' pen.)
Lawal (77')
rhs 2.0
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