Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partizani Tirana win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partizani Tirana win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Partizani Tirana in this match.

Result
Partizani Tirana	Draw	Valmiera
37.72% ( -1.37)	25.29% ( -0.04)	36.99% ( 1.41)

Both teams to score 56.73% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.02% (

0.26)

46.98% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.77% (

0.25)

69.23% (

-0.24)

Partizani Tirana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

-0.61)

24.48% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

-0.86)

58.93% (

0.86)

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.12% (

0.92)

24.87% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.51% (

1.26)

59.48% (

-1.26)

Score Analysis

Partizani Tirana 37.72%

Valmiera 36.99%

Draw 25.28%

Partizani Tirana	Draw	Valmiera
1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.39% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.72%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28%	0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.1) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.81% Total : 36.99%