MX23RW : Friday, November 15 01:19:48| >> :600:570424:570424:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 28, 2022 at 7pm UK
Toše Proeski Arena
Valmiera

Shkendija
3 - 1
Valmiera

Bejtulai (11'), Doriev (33'), Ramadani (85')
Hasani (54'), Ramadani (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Murata (25')
Tonisevs (11'), Fall (54'), Murata (61'), Gueye (69')
Murata (67')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and Valmiera.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Valmiera 1-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Valmiera 1-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 21 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.

Result
ShkendijaDrawValmiera
48.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 23.14% (0.0059999999999967 0.01) 28.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Both teams to score 61.03% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)39.95% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)62.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)16.75% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.33% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.67% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Valmiera Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)26.69% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.05% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)61.95% (0.052 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Shkendija 48.44%
    Valmiera 28.42%
    Draw 23.14%
ShkendijaDrawValmiera
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.62%
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.51%
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 48.44%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.97% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.9% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.07% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.74% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 28.42%

Head to Head
Jul 21, 2022 4pm
Valmiera
1-2
Shkendija
Gueye (45')
Krollis (80')
Doriev (9'), Guri (63')
Sadriu (77')
rhs 2.0
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