Valmiera

1 - 2

Shkendija

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.