Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo Kutaisi win with a probability of 39.94%. A win for KF Tirana had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo Kutaisi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest KF Tirana win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Torpedo Kutaisi in this match.