MX23RW : Sunday, February 16 12:40:52| >> :600:217605:217605:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ramaz Shengelias Sakhelobis Stadioni

Torpedo
2 - 2
Sarajevo

Sandokhadze (43'), Bugridze (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oliveira (47'), Varesanovic (51')
Trako (65'), Beganovic (73'), Mustafic (86')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Torpedo Kutaisi and Sarajevo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Torpedo 0-2 Ordabasy
Thursday, July 18 at 6pm in Europa League Qualifying
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Last Game: Sarajevo 0-1 Milsami
Thursday, July 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 39.59%. A win for Torpedo Kutaisi had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Torpedo Kutaisi win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Torpedo KutaisiDrawSarajevo
33.75% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06) 26.66% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 39.59% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 51.73% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.79% (0.012999999999998 0.01)53.21% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.23% (0.009999999999998 0.01)74.77% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Torpedo Kutaisi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.21% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)29.78% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)65.86% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Sarajevo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (0.037999999999997 0.04)26.32% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (0.050999999999995 0.05)61.46% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Torpedo Kutaisi 33.75%
    Sarajevo 39.58%
    Draw 26.65%
Torpedo KutaisiDrawSarajevo
1-0 @ 9.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.68% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 2.32% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.75%
1-1 @ 12.67%
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.58%

How you voted: Torpedo vs Sarajevo

Torpedo Kutaisi
16.7%
Draw
50.0%
Sarajevo
33.3%
6
rhs 2.0
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