Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs

Oct 1, 2020 at 7pm UK

Olimpijski Stadion Asim Ferhatovic Hase

Sarajevo
0 - 1
Celtic

Dupovac (43'), Oremus (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Edouard (70')
Frimpong (89'), Klimala (90+3')

Neil Lennon hails Celtic for overcoming Champions League disappointment

The Hoops reached the Europa League group stage on Thursday.

Oct 1, 22:52

The Match

Match Report

The Hoops won their play-off in Sarajevo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Sarajevo had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Sarajevo win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Celtic in this match.

Result
Sarajevo	Draw	Celtic
22.26%	24.88%	52.86%

Both teams to score 49.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.32%

52.68%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.67%

74.32%

Sarajevo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.42%

38.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67%

75.33%

Celtic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09%

19.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96%

52.03%

Score Analysis

Sarajevo 22.26%

Celtic 52.85%

Draw 24.87%

Sarajevo	Draw	Celtic
1-0 @ 7.31% 2-1 @ 5.62% 2-0 @ 3.48% 3-1 @ 1.79% 3-2 @ 1.44% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.26%	1-1 @ 11.8% 0-0 @ 7.68% 2-2 @ 4.54% Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 12.39% 0-2 @ 10% 1-2 @ 9.53% 0-3 @ 5.38% 1-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 2.44% 0-4 @ 2.17% 1-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.85%