Europa League | Third Qualifying Round
Sep 24, 2020 at 7pm UK
Stadion Bilino Polje
Sarajevo2 - 1Buducnost
Tatar (4'), Fanimo (67')
Rahmanovic (28'), Ahmetovic (35'), Tatar (45+1'), (6'), Oremus (53'), Kovacevic (89')
Rahmanovic (75')
Rahmanovic (28'), Ahmetovic (35'), Tatar (45+1'), (6'), Oremus (53'), Kovacevic (89')
Rahmanovic (75')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moraitis (44')
Sekulic (39'), Adzic (68'), Vujacic (86')
Sekulic (39'), Adzic (68'), Vujacic (86')
Coverage of the Europa League Third Qualifying Round clash between Sarajevo and Buducnost Podgorica.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarajevo win with a probability of 47.56%. A win for Buducnost Podgorica had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sarajevo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Buducnost Podgorica win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sarajevo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sarajevo | Draw | Buducnost Podgorica |
| 47.56% | 26.08% | 26.35% |
| Both teams to score 49.78% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
