Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Stade Parc des Sports
Differdange1 - 1Maribor
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FC Differdange 03 and Maribor.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Differdange 1-2 Ljubljana
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 14 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Radomlje 0-4 Maribor
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, July 23 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a FC Differdange 03 win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Differdange 03 | Draw | Maribor |
17.62% ( -0.01) | 22.65% ( -0.01) | 59.73% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 48.68% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.33% ( 0.05) | 49.67% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.31% ( 0.05) | 71.68% ( -0.05) |
FC Differdange 03 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.12% ( 0.02) | 41.88% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.67% ( 0.02) | 78.33% ( -0.02) |
Maribor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( 0.03) | 16.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.22% ( 0.05) | 45.78% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
FC Differdange 03 17.62%
Maribor 59.72%
Draw 22.65%
FC Differdange 03 | Draw | Maribor |
1-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.68% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 17.62% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.23% 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.92% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 59.72% |
Form Guide
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 6 | 15 | 28 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 23 |
3 | Chelsea | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 22 |
4 | Arsenal | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 22 |
5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 22 |
6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 27 | 13 | 14 | 19 |
7 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Aston Villa | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
9 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 18 |
10 | Fulham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 18 |
11 | Brentford | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 17 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
13 | Bournemouth | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 15 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
15 | Everton | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 11 |
16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 9 |
18 | Crystal Palace | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
20 | Southampton | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 4 |
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