MX23RW : Wednesday, April 2 22:42:58| >> :600:1073809:1073809:
Maribor
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt

Maribor
4 - 3
Differdange

Kolar (5'), Repas (62'), Brnic (82'), Ilicic (120+1' pen.)
Uskokovic (42'), Skuka (90+4'), Pihler (107'), Repas (108'), Bozic (111'), Skuka (115')
FT
(aet)
Castro (28' pen.), Trani (42', 46')
Pruzzo (31'), D'Anzico (90'), Bei (90+2'), Manuel Lagoela Nibra (94'), Pami (113'), Rauch (120+1'), Rauch (120+1'), Alexandre Sousa Lamas (120+2')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Maribor and FC Differdange 03.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maribor 1-0 Aluminij
Sunday, July 30 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Differdange 1-1 Maribor
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Celje73.50Bobicanec
2Ljubljana63.00Seslar
3Maribor52.50Jakupovic
4Domzale42.00Cerne
5Koper31.50Mulahusejnovic
6Bravo31.50Poplatnik
7Aluminij21.00Jovanovic
8NS Mura21.00Saitoski
9Radomlje00.00
10Rogaska00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for FC Differdange 03 had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 1-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a FC Differdange 03 win it was 1-2 (4.9%).

Result
MariborDrawFC Differdange 03
61.85% (-0.203 -0.2) 20.32% (0.026 0.03) 17.82% (0.185 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.76% (0.29 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.86% (0.20399999999999 0.2)39.14% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.53% (0.213 0.21)61.47% (-0.206 -0.21)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)12.17% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.2% (0.012 0.01)37.8% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
FC Differdange 03 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.62% (0.327 0.33)35.38% (-0.32 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.86% (0.335 0.34)72.14% (-0.328 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 61.85%
    FC Differdange 03 17.82%
    Draw 20.32%
MariborDrawFC Differdange 03
2-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
1-0 @ 9.07% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.71% (-0.06 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 3.62% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.91% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 61.85%
1-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 4.9% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.32% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.7% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 17.82%

Head to Head
Jul 27, 2023 6.30pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Differdange
1-1
Maribor
Roberto Mendes Alves Castro (25')
Monge Guevara (45'), Damian Pruzzo (47'), Rocha De Oliveira (51'), Naifi (52')
Jakupovic (90+6')
Milec (38')
rhs 2.0
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