Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ljubljana 2-0 Celje
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Goals
for
for
44
We said: Celje 1-1 Lugano
With Celje on a high after the knockout playoff tie, we are backing them to earn at least a share of the spoils from this contest. However, we have to respect Lugano's exploits in the League Phase, leading us to predict a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 33.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.06%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celje | Draw | Lugano |
43.67% ( 0.2) | 22.48% ( -0.02) | 33.85% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 66.57% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.06% ( 0.02) | 33.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.03) | 55.8% ( -0.03) |
| Celje Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.78% ( 0.08) | 16.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.29% ( 0.16) | 45.71% ( -0.16) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( -0.09) | 20.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.94% ( -0.13) | 53.06% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
Celje 43.67%
Lugano 33.85%
Draw 22.48%
| Celje | Draw | Lugano |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 43.67% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.33% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.95% Total : 33.85% |
How you voted: Celje vs Lugano
Celje
42.4%Draw
33.3%Lugano
24.2%33
