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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for NEC has a probability of 30.47% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.77%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest NEC win is 2-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.86%).
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
30.47% ( -0.8) | 22.54% ( -0.02) | 46.98% ( 0.82) |
Both teams to score 64.67% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.24% ( -0.32) | 35.76% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.17% ( -0.35) | 57.83% ( 0.35) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.71% ( -0.62) | 23.29% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.78% ( -0.91) | 57.22% ( 0.92) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.3% ( 0.18) | 15.7% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.24% ( 0.33) | 44.76% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.02% Total : 30.47% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.54% | 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 46.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |