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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 87.77%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.37%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
87.77% ( 0.11) | 7.97% ( -0.06) | 4.25% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 53.69% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
82.25% ( 0.06) | 17.75% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
65.18% ( 0.1) | 34.81% ( -0.1) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
97.43% ( 0.02) | 2.56% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
88.05% ( 0.08) | 11.95% ( -0.08) |
PEC Zwolle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.1% ( -0.14) | 44.89% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.15% ( -0.11) | 80.85% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
3-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 5-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.03) 6-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 7-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 6-2 @ 1.24% ( 0) 8-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 5.1% Total : 87.77% | 1-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 7.97% | 1-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 4.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |