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Copa Libertadores
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 26, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna

Palestino
3 - 1
Millonarios

Chamorro (19', 42'), Vejar (75')
Abrigo (58')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Castro (32')
Vega (38')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palestino and Millonarios.

Form, Standings, Stats

Palestino

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Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palestino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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Millonarios

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Last Game: Bolivar 3-2 Millonarios
Thursday, April 11 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Millonarios had a probability of 34.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Millonarios win was 0-1 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result
PalestinoDrawMillonarios
38.49% (0.052999999999997 0.05) 27.41% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 34.09% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.85% (0.056000000000004 0.06)56.15% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.79% (0.045999999999999 0.05)77.21% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.057000000000002 0.06)28.33% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (0.070999999999998 0.07)64.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Millonarios Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.97% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)31.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 38.48%
    Millonarios 34.09%
    Draw 27.41%
PalestinoDrawMillonarios
1-0 @ 11.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.99% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.01% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.41%
0-1 @ 10.28% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 6.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96%
0-3 @ 2.35% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 34.09%

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