MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 12:48:22| >> :600:879518:879518:
Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio General Jose Antonio Paez

Portuguesa
1 - 2
Palestino

Rodriguez (9')
Rodriguez (69')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Carrasco (15' pen.), Sosa (31')
Linares (76')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Portuguesa and Palestino.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 1-2 Fortaleza
Tuesday, June 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palestino win with a probability of 36.65%. A win for Portuguesa had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palestino win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Portuguesa win was 1-0 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palestino would win this match.

Result
PortuguesaDrawPalestino
35.97% (-0.012 -0.01) 27.38% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 36.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.71% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.12% (0.055 0.05)55.88% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.01% (0.043000000000003 0.04)76.99% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Portuguesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.3% (0.019999999999996 0.02)29.7% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.022999999999996 0.02)65.76% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.042999999999992 0.04)29.29% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.052 0.05)65.25% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Portuguesa 35.97%
    Palestino 36.64%
    Draw 27.37%
PortuguesaDrawPalestino
1-0 @ 10.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.7% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.56% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 36.64%

rhs 2.0
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