Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 2, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Millonarios1 - 1Flamengo
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Millonarios and Flamengo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 Flamengo
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 50.01%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Millonarios win it was 1-0 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millonarios | Draw | Flamengo |
24.03% ( -0.57) | 25.96% ( -0.14) | 50.01% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 48.05% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.81% ( 0.07) | 55.19% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.57% ( 0.06) | 76.43% ( -0.06) |
Millonarios Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.7% ( -0.47) | 38.3% ( 0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.94% ( -0.46) | 75.06% ( 0.46) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( 0.34) | 22.11% ( -0.34) |