Brasileiro | Gameweek 30

Nov 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK

Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Flamengo
1 - 0
Bragantino

De Arrascaeta (75')
Matheuzinho (15'), Maia (36'), Bruno (55'), Lucas (66')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Capixaba (21'), Candido (47'), Helinho (55')
Borbas (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Bragantino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions

Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Fluminense
Saturday, November 11 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bragantino

All competitions

Last Game: Bragantino 2-2 Botafogo
Sunday, November 12 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Bragantino

No team in the division has picked up more points than Bragantino's tally of 27 in the last 13 matches, and a draw would be much more favourable to the visitors, even if they would prefer all three. Flamengo have proved themselves as being capable of taking on the top sides in the league over the past few weeks, but this will be a difficult test, and an underwhelming draw may be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 52.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 23.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.

Result
Flamengo	Draw	Bragantino
52.91% ( -0.01)	23.55% ( 0)	23.54% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.86% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.06% (

45.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.75% (

68.25%

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

-0)

17.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

-0)

47.7% (

0.01)

Bragantino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.36% (

0.01)

33.64% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.71% (

0.01)

70.29% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Flamengo 52.9%

Bragantino 23.54%

Draw 23.55%

Flamengo	Draw	Bragantino
1-0 @ 10.21% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.79% Total : 52.9%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 5.83% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.55%	0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 23.54%