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Atletico Mineiro
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 26, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 0
Deportivo

Savarino (28'), Marrony (44'), Hulk (50'), Nathan (90+4')
Rodrigues de Souza (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ortiz (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and Deportivo La Guaira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 68.29%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.38%) and 3-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.85%), while for a Deportivo La Guaira win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportivo La Guaira
68.29%23.01%8.7%
Both teams to score 26.98%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.73%66.27%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.23%84.77%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69%19.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93%51.07%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
33.44%66.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.34%93.66%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 68.28%
    Deportivo La Guaira 8.7%
    Draw 23.01%
Atletico MineiroDrawDeportivo La Guaira
1-0 @ 21.13%
2-0 @ 17.38%
3-0 @ 9.53%
2-1 @ 7.08%
4-0 @ 3.92%
3-1 @ 3.88%
4-1 @ 1.6%
5-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 68.28%
0-0 @ 12.85%
1-1 @ 8.6%
2-2 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.01%
0-1 @ 5.23%
1-2 @ 1.75%
0-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Deportivo

Atletico Mineiro
100%
Draw
0.0%
Deportivo La Guaira
0.0%
14
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 11pm
Group Stage
Deportivo
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Adrian Martinez (20')
Raul Olses Quijada (78')
Zaracho (65')
Sasha (66')
rhs 2.0
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