MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 21:45:19| >> :60:8:8:
Barbados national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2023 at 11pm UK
Wildey Turf
Nicaragua national football team

Barbados
0 - 4
Nicaragua


Lashley (2'), Applewhaite (83'), Atkins (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Arteaga (22' pen.), Rodriguez (43'), Coronel (55'), Montes (59')
Arteaga (6')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Barbados and Nicaragua.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbados

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 5-2 Barbados
Tuesday, October 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Nicaragua

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 3-0 Montserrat
Tuesday, October 17 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nicaragua win with a probability of 76.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 8.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nicaragua win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.03%) and 0-3 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.32%), while for a Barbados win it was 1-0 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nicaragua would win this match.

Result
BarbadosDrawNicaragua
8.23% (0.058 0.06) 15.39% (-0.074 -0.07) 76.37% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.21% (0.538 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.69% (0.557 0.56)40.3% (-0.558 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.32% (0.572 0.57)62.68% (-0.573 -0.57)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.49% (0.518 0.52)51.51% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.32% (0.341 0.34)85.68% (-0.342 -0.34)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.17% (0.13800000000001 0.14)8.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.76% (0.33399999999999 0.33)30.24% (-0.336 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Barbados 8.23%
    Nicaragua 76.37%
    Draw 15.39%
BarbadosDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 3.01% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-1 @ 2.43% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 8.23%
1-1 @ 7.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 2.95% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 15.39%
0-2 @ 13.39% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-3 @ 10.84% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 7.19% (0.064 0.06)
0-4 @ 6.58% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 4.37% (0.067 0.07)
0-5 @ 3.2% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.39% (0.057 0.06)
1-5 @ 2.12% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.044 0.04)
0-6 @ 1.29% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 76.37%

Head to Head
Sep 12, 2023 3am
League B
Nicaragua
5-1
Barbados
Smith (10'), Luis Perez Rodriguez (40'), Moreno (45+1', 76'), Montes (68')
Rodriguez (85')
Gale (89')
rhs 2.0
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