MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:05:56| >> :60:150:150:
Paraguay national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 18, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco
Nicaragua national football team

Paraguay
2 - 0
Nicaragua

Almiron (62'), Balbuena (78')
Ojeda (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Belli Moldskred (10'), Fletes (35'), Tellez (71'), Talavera (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Paraguay and Nicaragua, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paraguay

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-2 Paraguay
Tuesday, March 28 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Nicaragua

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Uruguay 4-1 Nicaragua
Thursday, June 15 at 12.30am in International Friendlies

We said: Paraguay 3-1 Nicaragua

 Paraguay's stock has significantly fallen in recent years, but we expect them to be highly motivated to return to winning ways after losing their last three matches. The visitors are likely to be demotivated after already losing two friendlies within the past week, especially having been removed from the Gold Cup, which these friendlies were arranged in preparation for. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 51.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nicaragua had a probability of 22.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Nicaragua win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.

Result
ParaguayDrawNicaragua
51.67% (1.549 1.55) 25.71% (-0.716 -0.72) 22.61% (-0.829 -0.83)
Both teams to score 47.23% (1.072 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.51% (1.871 1.87)55.49% (-1.868 -1.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.32% (1.509 1.51)76.67% (-1.506 -1.51)
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.48% (1.46 1.46)21.52% (-1.455 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.42% (2.191 2.19)54.58% (-2.187 -2.19)
Nicaragua Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.18% (0.253 0.25)39.82% (-0.25 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.51% (0.234 0.23)76.49% (-0.22999999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Paraguay 51.67%
    Nicaragua 22.61%
    Draw 25.71%
ParaguayDrawNicaragua
1-0 @ 13.16% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-0 @ 10.11% (0.153 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.31% (0.204 0.2)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.297 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.303 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.2% (0.154 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 51.67%
1-1 @ 12.12% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.637 -0.64)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 7.89% (-0.529 -0.53)
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.047 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 22.61%

How you voted: Paraguay vs Nicaragua

Paraguay
88.2%
Draw
11.8%
Nicaragua
0.0%
17
rhs 2.0
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